Financial Results archives - Uncommon Wisdom

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financial results

Nov 5 2009   2:08PM GMT

Cisco’s earnings show customers’ releasing 2009 project budgets



Posted by: Tom Nolle
Cisco, mergers and acquisitions, financial results

Cisco saw both revenues and profits fall, but both also beat analyst expectations. Chambers was upbeat about the next two quarters, pumping estimates ahead of current guidance. Order growth in the U.S. was flat, and other geographies were down.Both enterprise and service provider business lines were down.

The Cisco CEO also talked about the opportunity he sees for Cisco and about Cisco’s ability to bring off a host of acquisitions, ventures and new offerings that combine to create a fairly radical shift in company direction. Chambers says orders are picking up and suggests this is a result of the “we-can’t-wait-any-more” mindset. Here we have to disagree; buyers could in fact wait for quite a while longer.

Cisco’s results are primarily the result of the release of 2009 budget money we reported in the spring. Our surveys showed that slightly more money was spent in the last quarter, but most of the line budgets are now spent (only 3% remains for Q4) and further spending growth will rely on Cisco getting a piece of project budgets. That’s likely to happen, but our research shows that buyers often juggle project spending between IT and networking gear in Q4. So it’s not possible to predict just what Cisco will get. We think that the next 2 quarters could prove more challenging depending on retail behavior in this quarter.

Oct 16 2009   10:48AM GMT

NSN’s very bad quarter: Good technology, bad messaging



Posted by: Tom Nolle
Nokia-Siemens Networks, wireless infrastructure, equipment vendors, financial results, Huawei

Nokia Siemens Networks’ (NSN) quarterly results were just plain bad, with the company admitting a much larger market share loss than they’d forecast—so much so it swamped a market that turned out to be better than NSN had expected.

We think the problem here is a combination of conservatism and the lack of a single area of specialized focus on which NSN could underpin marketing efforts. NSN has excellent technology but extremely limited marketing skills, and the company is especially troubled by a lack of ability to engage high-level issues in a telco market that is increasingly focused on transformation of business model.

The NSN analyst event late this month may show how, and if, NSN plans to change all of that. The numbers make it very clear that it needs to. NSN can’t sustain sales and margins against Huawei without a strategy, and it can’t boost its U.S. market position without one either. The expectations of vendor M&A in the telco equipment space has driven prices on companies up, making it less likely NSN could bring off an acquisition that would position it here in the U.S.