James Governor over at MonkChips (a RedMonk blog)is waxing critically at some IDC numbers and a fellow blogger today. Specifically, he takes issue with a recent analysis that said the Big Three in databases — IBM, Oracle and Microsoft — are running away with the market.
Not so fast, he says, because what about MySQL? Rick Sherman, the blogger in question and analytics nut over at the Data Doghouse, opines that while open source databases will continue to grow the market, the IDC numbers show the Big Three are going to be stealing the database show again and again for the time being. “The rich get richer,” he says.
He is unfortunately completely missing what’s really going on out there. MySQL usage is exploding. In many cases its being used as a bucket of bits, rather than a relational database management system. But check out 95% of Web 2.0 Services (that number is plucked out of thin air, feel free to challenge it) and they are using MySQL. Then look at look at companies socialized to open source. MySQL is everywhere. Would IBM really be running MySQL alongside DB2 if they weren’t seeing exponential growth across the open source platform? No. Way.
I’m inclined to agree. Not necessarily because Governor knows infinitely more about this area of the industry than me, which he does, but because it’s what I’ve seen in my reporting over the past few years. IDC numbers are great to a point, but the real world experiences and case studies I’ve read and written are the royal flush to their full house (played some poker this weekend, can you tell?).